HOME WIN STATS
Real Madrid La Liga87% Home Win Rate · Bernabéu Fortress PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie15 straight Home Wins Man City Premier League80% Home Win Rate Premier League England46% League Home Win Avg Bayer Leverkusen BundesligaUnbeaten at Home in 25 games Arsenal Premier League78% Home Win Rate Eredivisie Netherlands48% League Home Win Avg · Highest in Europe Real Madrid La Liga87% Home Win Rate · Bernabéu Fortress PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie15 straight Home Wins
2024/25 Season · Updated Apr 30, 2026

HOME WIN
STATISTICS
HUB

Identify the true fortresses of European football. Full Home Win statistics tracking win percentages, active home winning streaks, points per home game, and today's most reliable home banker tips.

48%Eredivisie Home Win Avg
46%Premier League Avg
44%La Liga Avg
41%Serie A Avg
Home Banker Acca Thu, Apr 30
Arsenal v Leicester City
Premier League · Emirates Stadium · 15:00
Home Win (1)1.22
Match Preview
Arsenal vs Leicester — The Emirates is a genuine fortress. Arsenal have won 78% of their home matches this season, conceding fewer than 0.7 goals per game in North London. Leicester's away record against the traditional "Big Six" is poor, making this a cornerstone for any accumulator.
Arsenal Home Win % 78%
Leicester Away Loss % 65%
Arsenal Home xG Diff +1.65
Real Madrid v Alavés
La Liga · Santiago Bernabéu · 20:00
Home Win (1)1.25
Match Preview
Real Madrid vs Alavés — Real Madrid boast the highest home win percentage in Europe's top five leagues at 87%. They simply do not drop points to mid-table opposition at the Bernabéu. Alavés struggle significantly on the road against high-possession teams.
Madrid Home Win % 87%
Active Home Streak 9 Wins
Alavés Away Loss % 58%
PSV Eindhoven v PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie · Philips Stadion · 14:30
Home Win (1)1.15
Match Preview
PSV vs PEC Zwolle — PSV at the Philips Stadion is practically a cheat code. They hold a staggering 92% home win rate and are currently riding a 15-game home winning streak in domestic competition. Zwolle lacks the defensive personnel to stop PSV's wide overloads.
PSV Home Win % 92%
Home Win Streak 15 games
PSV Home Goals Avg 3.4
Strong Home Value Acca Thu, Apr 30
Aston Villa v Fulham
Premier League · Villa Park · 15:00
Home Win (1)1.75
Match Preview
Aston Villa vs Fulham — Villa Park under Unai Emery has transformed into one of England's toughest grounds. Villa win 68% of their home fixtures. While Fulham are competitive, their away form drops significantly, winning just 20% of their road games. 1.75 offers immense value.
Villa Home Win % 68%
Fulham Away Win % 20%
Villa PPHG 2.21
Atalanta v Torino
Serie A · Gewiss Stadium · 18:00
Home Win (1)1.82
Match Preview
Atalanta vs Torino — Atalanta's high-pressing system relies heavily on the energy of their home crowd. They boast a 62% win rate at the Gewiss Stadium. Torino are stubborn defensively but struggle to score away from home, making an Atalanta victory the most probable outcome.
Atalanta Home Win % 62%
Torino Away Loss % 48%
H2H Home Wins 3 of last 4
About the Analyst VERIFIED TIPSTER
Lead Match Odds Analyst
Blessed Emmy
Identity verified

12+ years in sports analytics. Creator of the "Fortress Delta" method, which identifies teams whose home xG (Expected Goals) significantly overperforms their baseline away xG. By isolating the true impact of home advantage, FootyBlazer's Home Banker accumulators maintain one of the highest strike rates in the industry.

BSc Mathematics, University of Lagos
82% HOME 1
Expertise
1X2 Markets
Focus
Home Bankers
Experience
12+ Years
Tips Published
3,400+

Home Win % by League — 2024/25

All stats →
🇳🇱
Eredivisie
48%
of 272 games
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Premier League
46%
of 310 games
🇩🇪
Bundesliga
45%
of 262 games
🇪🇸
La Liga
44%
of 310 games
🏆
UCL
43%
of 125 games
🇫🇷
Ligue 1
42%
of 290 games
🇮🇹
Serie A
41%
of 310 games
Top Home Fortresses — Premier League 2024/25
League Home Win average: 46%
#Team Home Win % Home W-D-L Points Per Home Game Rate Bar
1
Manchester City
Etihad Stadium
80%12-2-12.53
80%
2
Arsenal
Emirates Stadium
78%11-2-12.50
78%
3
Liverpool
Anfield
73%11-3-12.40
73%
4
Aston Villa
Villa Park
68%10-2-32.13
68%
5
Newcastle United
St James' Park
65%10-3-22.20
65%
18
Everton
Goodison Park
33%5-4-61.26
33%
19
Ipswich Town
Portman Road
26%4-5-61.13
26%
20
Southampton
St Mary's
20%3-3-90.80
20%
↑ PPHG: Points Per Home Game (Maximum 3.00)
Top Home Fortresses — Bundesliga 2024/25
League Home Win average: 45%
#TeamHome Win %Home W-D-LPPHGRate Bar
1
Bayer Leverkusen
BayArena
85%12-2-02.71
85%
2
Bayern Munich
Allianz Arena
82%11-1-12.61
82%
3
RB Leipzig
Red Bull Arena
71%10-3-12.35
71%
4
Borussia Dortmund
Signal Iduna Park
68%9-3-22.14
68%
Top Home Fortresses — La Liga 2024/25
League Home Win average: 44%
#TeamHome Win %Home W-D-LPPHGRate Bar
1
Real Madrid
Bernabéu
87%13-2-02.73
87%
2
Barcelona
Montjuïc
80%12-1-22.46
80%
3
Atletico Madrid
Metropolitano
76%11-2-22.33
76%
Top Home Fortresses — Serie A 2024/25
League Home Win average: 41%
#TeamHome Win %Home W-D-LPPHGRate Bar
1
Inter Milan
San Siro
75%12-3-12.43
75%
2
Juventus
Allianz Stadium
66%10-4-12.26
66%
3
Atalanta
Gewiss Stadium
62%10-3-32.06
62%

Biggest Active Home Win Streaks

Current Home Win Streaks — Unbroken Runs
PSV Eindhoven
Philips Stadion · Eredivisie
15 straight 100%
Real Madrid
Santiago Bernabéu · La Liga
9 straight 100%
Manchester City
Etihad Stadium · Premier League
7 straight 100%
🟩 = Home Win    🟥 = Draw/Loss    Shown most recent → oldest (left to right)

Today's Home Win Tips — Full Match Previews

All tips →
Arsenal v Leicester City
Premier League · Emirates Stadium · 15:00
Home Win (1) 1.22 LARGE
Arsenal Home Win %: 78% Leicester Away Loss %: 65%
Arsenal home win streak (last 10):
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
Match Preview
Arsenal vs Leicester — Arsenal have turned the Emirates into one of Europe's premier fortresses under Mikel Arteta. Earning 2.50 points per home game, they combine relentless attacking pressure with a suffocating defensive structure that gives mid-to-lower tier teams almost zero breathing room. Leicester have struggled on the road all season, losing 65% of their away fixtures. At 1.22, this is the definition of an accumulator banker.
Arsenal Home PPHG 2.50
Arsenal Home xG 2.35
Leicester Away xGA 1.98
Real Madrid v Alavés
La Liga · Santiago Bernabéu · 20:00
Home Win (1) 1.25 LARGE
Madrid Home Win %: 87% Alavés Away Loss %: 58%
Match Preview
Real Madrid vs Alavés — The Santiago Bernabéu is currently the most statistically reliable home ground in Europe's top five leagues. Real Madrid boast an 87% win rate here, riding a 9-game active winning streak. Alavés simply do not have the transitional speed or defensive depth to handle Madrid's attacking trident for 90 minutes. Backing the Home Win is mathematically the safest play on the board today.
Active Streak 9 straight wins
Madrid Home PPHG 2.73
Madrid Home Goals 2.8 avg

About Home Win Statistics & Advantage

Home Win Statistics — Finding The Fortresses

In football betting, the 1X2 market (Home Win, Draw, Away Win) is the most traditional way to wager. Statistically, the home team always holds an inherent advantage. Across Europe's major leagues, home teams win approximately 44% to 48% of all matches, while away teams win roughly 25% to 30%.

FootyBlazer’s Home Win Statistics hub goes beyond the basic averages. We track which teams have turned their stadiums into true "Fortresses." We look for teams with home win rates above 70%, identifying the clubs that consistently dispatch visiting teams without drama. By combining high Home Win percentages with high Away Loss percentages for the visiting team, bettors can construct highly reliable accumulator bets.

Why Does Home Advantage Exist?

Home advantage is not a myth; it is a statistically proven phenomenon driven by a combination of factors. Teams do not have to travel, reducing physical and mental fatigue. They are intimately familiar with the exact dimensions and turf of their own pitch. More importantly, data shows that raucous home crowds can subconsciously influence refereeing decisions, particularly regarding penalties and second yellow cards.

The Points Per Home Game (PPHG) Metric

While win percentage is vital, Points Per Home Game (PPHG) gives a broader picture of a team's dominance. A perfect home record yields 3.00 PPHG. Elite fortresses—like the Etihad under Pep Guardiola or the Bernabéu under Carlo Ancelotti—consistently operate above the 2.50 PPHG mark, meaning they almost never lose and very rarely draw.

Responsible Use of Match Odds Statistics

All 1X2 tips and statistics on FootyBlazer are for informational purposes intended for users aged 18 and over. No "fortress" is completely impenetrable; even heavy favorites experience shock defeats. Betting carries financial risk and should be treated as entertainment rather than income. If gambling is negatively affecting your finances or wellbeing, please visit BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133.

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Fortress PPHG Data
Active Streaks
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Frequently Asked Questions

How often do home teams win in football?
Historically, home teams win approximately 44% to 48% of all matches across major European leagues. The exact percentage fluctuates slightly by league and season. The Eredivisie and Premier League currently sit at the higher end of this scale.
What is a 'Fortress' in football betting?
A 'Fortress' refers to a stadium where the home team has an exceptionally high win percentage and rarely drops points. For accumulator builders, a true fortress typically boasts a home win rate of 75% or higher (over 2.40 Points Per Home Game).
What does PPHG stand for?
PPHG stands for Points Per Home Game. It is calculated by taking the total points a team has won at home (3 for a win, 1 for a draw) and dividing it by the number of home matches played. A PPHG above 2.00 is excellent; above 2.50 is elite.
Should I always bet on the home team?
No. While the home team has a statistical advantage, odds compilers factor this into the prices. Blindly backing home teams is a losing strategy long-term. The key is to find elite home teams playing against poor traveling teams where the price still holds value in an accumulator.