EXPECTED
GOALS
STATISTICS
Full xG and xGA tables for the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1 — team rankings, goals-for/against rates, match-level xG previews, and how to use expected goals to find betting value.
Top xG For (Goals/Game)
Team xG/xGA are goals-for/against per game from finished fixtures (standings empty for this season).| # | Team | xG (GF/g) | xGA (GA/g) | Diff | Played | Rate Bar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
La Liga
|
3.60 | 1.00 | 2.6 | 11240 | |
| 2 |
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga
|
3.33 | 1.67 | 1.66 | 4644 | |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
|
3.33 | 1.33 | 2 | 4644 | |
| 4 |
Strasbourg
Ligue 1
|
3.25 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 6788 | |
| 5 |
Manchester City
Premier League
|
3.00 | 1.50 | 1.5 | 3584 | |
| 6 |
Real Madrid
La Liga
|
3.00 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 8992 | |
| 7 |
Paris FC
Ligue 1
|
3.00 | 0.00 | 3 | 1697 | |
| 8 |
FC Augsburg
Bundesliga
|
2.75 | 2.25 | 0.5 | 6192 | |
| 9 |
Frosinone
Serie A
|
2.67 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 13044 | |
| 10 |
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga
|
2.67 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 4644 | |
| 11 |
Brighton
Premier League
|
2.60 | 1.20 | 1.4 | 8960 | |
| 12 |
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
|
2.50 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 8992 | |
| 13 |
Lazio
Serie A
|
2.50 | 1.00 | 1.5 | 13044 | |
| 14 |
AC Milan
Serie A
|
2.50 | 0.50 | 2 | 4348 | |
| 15 |
AS Roma
Serie A
|
2.50 | 0.50 | 2 | 8696 | |
| 16 |
Inter
Serie A
|
2.50 | 1.00 | 1.5 | 8696 | |
| 17 |
SC Paderborn 07
Bundesliga
|
2.50 | 1.50 | 1 | 3096 | |
| 18 |
Aston Villa
Premier League
|
2.33 | 2.33 | 0 | 5376 | |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
Serie A
|
2.25 | 3.50 | -1.25 | 8696 | |
| 20 |
Manchester United
Premier League
|
2.00 | 2.17 | -0.17 | 10752 | |
| 21 |
Liverpool
Premier League
|
2.00 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 5376 | |
| 22 |
Villarreal
La Liga
|
2.00 | 1.00 | 1 | 6744 | |
| 23 |
Juventus
Serie A
|
2.00 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 6522 | |
| 24 |
Fiorentina
Serie A
|
2.00 | 1.75 | 0.25 | 8696 | |
| 25 |
Bayern München
Bundesliga
|
2.00 | 1.00 | 1 | 3096 |
Today's Fixture xG Projections
Coventry City U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 — Over 2.5
Coventry City U21 host Queens Park Rangers U21 in Professional Development League (England), and today's FootyBlazer desk has isolated a specific betting narrative for this fixture. Form streaks matter, but we also stress-test whether the tip survives a cautious game state — early booking risk, slow tempo, or a side protecting a European away goal.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 4.28, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 95%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Bottom line for Coventry City U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21: take Over 2.5 as the primary market, manage stake to the 95% confidence band, and treat this as one leg inside a broader FootyBlazer slip rather than an all-in special.
United FC U23 vs Al Nasr U23 — Over 2.5
For bettors scanning Pro League U23 tonight, United FC U23 against Al Nasr U23 stands out because the underlying numbers align with a disciplined selection rather than a hype pick. We weigh recent attacking output, defensive leakage, schedule intensity and how the bookmakers have priced the main lines before locking the tip.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 4.07, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 95%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
In summary, United FC U23 against Al Nasr U23 in Pro League U23 earns a detailed write-up today because the numbers, the market and the match script all point toward Over 2.5. Revisit lineups when named, then confirm the price still matches the 95% confidence tag.
Corinthians U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 — Over 2.5
For bettors scanning Paulista - U20 tonight, Corinthians U20 against RB Bragantino U20 stands out because the underlying numbers align with a disciplined selection rather than a hype pick. We weigh recent attacking output, defensive leakage, schedule intensity and how the bookmakers have priced the main lines before locking the tip.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.77, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 91%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
In summary, Corinthians U20 against RB Bragantino U20 in Paulista - U20 earns a detailed write-up today because the numbers, the market and the match script all point toward Over 2.5. Revisit lineups when named, then confirm the price still matches the 91% confidence tag.
Bentonit Ijevan vs Araks Ararat — Over 2.5
This First League meeting between Bentonit Ijevan and Araks Ararat on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.75, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 90%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on Bentonit Ijevan vs Araks Ararat only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Bromley U21 — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Bromley U21 in Premier League Cup (kick-off 19:00) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.67, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 89%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with West Bromwich Albion U21 and Bromley U21 providing the tactical backdrop in Premier League Cup.
Mika vs Shirak II — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Mika vs Shirak II in First League (kick-off 10:30) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.62, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 88%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Mika and Shirak II providing the tactical backdrop in First League.
Javor vs TSC Backa Topola — Over 2.5
This Prva Liga meeting between Javor and TSC Backa Topola on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.44, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 86%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on Javor vs TSC Backa Topola only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Redditch United vs Peterborough Sports — Over 2.5
This Non League Premier - Southern Central meeting between Redditch United and Peterborough Sports on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.43, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 85%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on Redditch United vs Peterborough Sports only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga — Over 2.5
This Eliteserien meeting between Kristiansund BK and Valerenga on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.38, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 85%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Montana — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Montana in Second League (kick-off 15:00) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.33, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 84%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Montana providing the tactical backdrop in Second League.
CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea — Over 2.5
For bettors scanning Liga II tonight, CS Dinamo București against CSM Ramnicu Valcea stands out because the underlying numbers align with a disciplined selection rather than a hype pick. We weigh recent attacking output, defensive leakage, schedule intensity and how the bookmakers have priced the main lines before locking the tip.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.33, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 84%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
In summary, CS Dinamo București against CSM Ramnicu Valcea in Liga II earns a detailed write-up today because the numbers, the market and the match script all point toward Over 2.5. Revisit lineups when named, then confirm the price still matches the 84% confidence tag.
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Bnei Raina — Over 2.5
For bettors scanning Liga Leumit tonight, Hapoel Kfar Saba against Maccabi Bnei Raina stands out because the underlying numbers align with a disciplined selection rather than a hype pick. We weigh recent attacking output, defensive leakage, schedule intensity and how the bookmakers have priced the main lines before locking the tip.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.33, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 84%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
In summary, Hapoel Kfar Saba against Maccabi Bnei Raina in Liga Leumit earns a detailed write-up today because the numbers, the market and the match script all point toward Over 2.5. Revisit lineups when named, then confirm the price still matches the 84% confidence tag.
FC Koln W vs RB Leipzig W — Over 2.5
This Frauen Bundesliga meeting between FC Koln W and RB Leipzig W on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.31, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 84%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on FC Koln W vs RB Leipzig W only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Al Ain U23 vs Al Wahda U23 — Over 2.5
For bettors scanning Pro League U23 tonight, Al Ain U23 against Al Wahda U23 stands out because the underlying numbers align with a disciplined selection rather than a hype pick. We weigh recent attacking output, defensive leakage, schedule intensity and how the bookmakers have priced the main lines before locking the tip.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.29, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 83%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
In summary, Al Ain U23 against Al Wahda U23 in Pro League U23 earns a detailed write-up today because the numbers, the market and the match script all point toward Over 2.5. Revisit lineups when named, then confirm the price still matches the 83% confidence tag.
Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted in FA Cup (kick-off 19:30) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.25, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 83%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Plymouth Parkway and Berkhamsted providing the tactical backdrop in FA Cup.
Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison — Over 2.5
This USL League One meeting between Charlotte Independence and Forward Madison on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.23, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 82%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Liptovský Mikuláš vs MFK Bytča — Over 2.5
This 2. liga meeting between Liptovský Mikuláš and MFK Bytča on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.17, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 82%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on Liptovský Mikuláš vs MFK Bytča only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Atletico Madrid W vs FC Levante Badalona W — Over 2.5
This Primera División Femenina meeting between Atletico Madrid W and FC Levante Badalona W on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.17, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 82%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on Atletico Madrid W vs FC Levante Badalona W only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Acre — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Acre in Liga Leumit (kick-off 17:00) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.13, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 81%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Ironi Modi'in and Hapoel Acre providing the tactical backdrop in Liga Leumit.
Yaypan vs Lochin — Over 2.5
Yaypan host Lochin in Pro League A (Uzbekistan), and today's FootyBlazer desk has isolated a specific betting narrative for this fixture. Form streaks matter, but we also stress-test whether the tip survives a cautious game state — early booking risk, slow tempo, or a side protecting a European away goal.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.02, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 79%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Bottom line for Yaypan vs Lochin: take Over 2.5 as the primary market, manage stake to the 79% confidence band, and treat this as one leg inside a broader FootyBlazer slip rather than an all-in special.
Shortan vs BuxDu — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Shortan vs BuxDu in Pro League A (kick-off 09:00) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.00, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 79%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Shortan and BuxDu providing the tactical backdrop in Pro League A.
South Sudan U23 vs Senegal U23 — Over 2.5
This CAF U23 Cup Of Nations meeting between South Sudan U23 and Senegal U23 on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 3.00, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 79%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on South Sudan U23 vs Senegal U23 only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Jayxun vs Olimpik-Mobiuz — Over 2.5
Jayxun host Olimpik-Mobiuz in Pro League A (Uzbekistan), and today's FootyBlazer desk has isolated a specific betting narrative for this fixture. Form streaks matter, but we also stress-test whether the tip survives a cautious game state — early booking risk, slow tempo, or a side protecting a European away goal.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.92, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 78%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Bottom line for Jayxun vs Olimpik-Mobiuz: take Over 2.5 as the primary market, manage stake to the 78% confidence band, and treat this as one leg inside a broader FootyBlazer slip rather than an all-in special.
Gazalkent vs Respublika FA — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Gazalkent vs Respublika FA in Pro League A (kick-off 09:00) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.92, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 78%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Gazalkent and Respublika FA providing the tactical backdrop in Pro League A.
Piratas vs Cancún — Over 2.5
Piratas host Cancún in Liga De Expansión MX (Mexico), and today's FootyBlazer desk has isolated a specific betting narrative for this fixture. Form streaks matter, but we also stress-test whether the tip survives a cautious game state — early booking risk, slow tempo, or a side protecting a European away goal.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.88, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 77%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Bottom line for Piratas vs Cancún: take Over 2.5 as the primary market, manage stake to the 77% confidence band, and treat this as one leg inside a broader FootyBlazer slip rather than an all-in special.
Team Altamura vs Cavese — Over 2.5
For bettors scanning Serie C - Girone C tonight, Team Altamura against Cavese stands out because the underlying numbers align with a disciplined selection rather than a hype pick. We weigh recent attacking output, defensive leakage, schedule intensity and how the bookmakers have priced the main lines before locking the tip.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.88, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 77%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
In summary, Team Altamura against Cavese in Serie C - Girone C earns a detailed write-up today because the numbers, the market and the match script all point toward Over 2.5. Revisit lineups when named, then confirm the price still matches the 77% confidence tag.
Las Palmas vs Eldense — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Las Palmas vs Eldense in Segunda División (kick-off 19:30) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.83, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 76%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Las Palmas and Eldense providing the tactical backdrop in Segunda División.
Palmeiras U20 vs Santos U20 — Over 2.5
Palmeiras U20 host Santos U20 in Paulista - U20 (Brazil), and today's FootyBlazer desk has isolated a specific betting narrative for this fixture. Form streaks matter, but we also stress-test whether the tip survives a cautious game state — early booking risk, slow tempo, or a side protecting a European away goal.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.82, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 76%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Bottom line for Palmeiras U20 vs Santos U20: take Over 2.5 as the primary market, manage stake to the 76% confidence band, and treat this as one leg inside a broader FootyBlazer slip rather than an all-in special.
Chapelton vs Racing United — Over 2.5
This Premier League meeting between Chapelton and Racing United on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.81, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 76%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on Chapelton vs Racing United only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United in National League - South (kick-off 19:45) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.80, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 76%.
If the odds shorten sharply into kick-off without a matching injury or lineup shock, that usually confirms market agreement with our lean. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet United providing the tactical backdrop in National League - South.
Metalourg vs Aral — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Metalourg vs Aral in Pro League A (kick-off 09:00) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.79, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 76%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Metalourg and Aral providing the tactical backdrop in Pro League A.
Pakhtakor II vs Kattaqurgon — Over 2.5
Pakhtakor II host Kattaqurgon in Pro League A (Uzbekistan), and today's FootyBlazer desk has isolated a specific betting narrative for this fixture. Form streaks matter, but we also stress-test whether the tip survives a cautious game state — early booking risk, slow tempo, or a side protecting a European away goal.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.75, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 75%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Bottom line for Pakhtakor II vs Kattaqurgon: take Over 2.5 as the primary market, manage stake to the 75% confidence band, and treat this as one leg inside a broader FootyBlazer slip rather than an all-in special.
Club Queretaro vs Puebla — Over 2.5
Club Queretaro host Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico), and today's FootyBlazer desk has isolated a specific betting narrative for this fixture. Form streaks matter, but we also stress-test whether the tip survives a cautious game state — early booking risk, slow tempo, or a side protecting a European away goal.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.72, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 75%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Bottom line for Club Queretaro vs Puebla: take Over 2.5 as the primary market, manage stake to the 75% confidence band, and treat this as one leg inside a broader FootyBlazer slip rather than an all-in special.
FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco — Over 2.5
This Primera Division meeting between FAS and Fuerte San Francisco on Monday, 9 November 2026 is one of our featured model picks, built from probabilities, goal expectancy and market price. The desk compares home and away profiles, then checks whether the published price still offers edge versus our internal probability map.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.70, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 75%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
For readers building today's card, lock Over 2.5 on FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco only if the quote stays acceptable. Our desk will refresh the narrative again tomorrow as form and prices update.
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas in Liga MX (kick-off 02:10) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.70, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 75%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Leon and Guadalajara Chivas providing the tactical backdrop in Liga MX.
Veles vs KAMAZ — Over 2.5
For bettors scanning First League tonight, Veles against KAMAZ stands out because the underlying numbers align with a disciplined selection rather than a hype pick. We weigh recent attacking output, defensive leakage, schedule intensity and how the bookmakers have priced the main lines before locking the tip.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.70, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 75%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
In summary, Veles against KAMAZ in First League earns a detailed write-up today because the numbers, the market and the match script all point toward Over 2.5. Revisit lineups when named, then confirm the price still matches the 75% confidence tag.
Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Afula — Over 2.5
Kafr Qasim host Hapoel Afula in Liga Leumit (Israel), and today's FootyBlazer desk has isolated a specific betting narrative for this fixture. Form streaks matter, but we also stress-test whether the tip survives a cautious game state — early booking risk, slow tempo, or a side protecting a European away goal.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.67, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 74%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Bottom line for Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Afula: take Over 2.5 as the primary market, manage stake to the 74% confidence band, and treat this as one leg inside a broader FootyBlazer slip rather than an all-in special.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul — Over 2.5
For bettors scanning Liga I tonight, FC Botosani against Oţelul stands out because the underlying numbers align with a disciplined selection rather than a hype pick. We weigh recent attacking output, defensive leakage, schedule intensity and how the bookmakers have priced the main lines before locking the tip.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.68, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 74%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
In summary, FC Botosani against Oţelul in Liga I earns a detailed write-up today because the numbers, the market and the match script all point toward Over 2.5. Revisit lineups when named, then confirm the price still matches the 74% confidence tag.
Santa Cruz RJ vs Serra Macaense — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Santa Cruz RJ vs Serra Macaense in Carioca B2 (kick-off 21:30) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.68, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 74%.
Value is not only about long prices — a short quote can still be correct when the probability edge is large enough. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Santa Cruz RJ and Serra Macaense providing the tactical backdrop in Carioca B2.
Antigua GFC vs Malacateco — Over 2.5
FootyBlazer's 2026-11-09 briefing for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco in Liga Nacional (kick-off 00:00) focuses on a clear market angle rather than vague commentary. Instead of recycling a generic preview, this write-up is seeded to this exact match and refresh date, so the emphasis shifts as the model and odds move day to day.
The angle is Over 2.5. Over lines need sustained chance volume, not just one early goal and a shut-up-shop finish. Combined goal expectancy is modelled near 2.67, which supports pressing the over when the price stays sensible. If either side is forced to chase a result late, the total can inflate quickly — that late-game swing is already baked into our confidence of 74%.
Pricing discipline matters: we compare the tip to the live board and only keep selections where the number still looks fair for the risk. Always re-check the board before you stake, because liquidity moves quickly near kick-off.
Final read: this is a match-specific FootyBlazer preview generated for 2026-11-09, not a copy-paste blurb. The headline selection remains Over 2.5, with Antigua GFC and Malacateco providing the tactical backdrop in Liga Nacional.
Premier League — Full Table Rates
| # | Team | xG | xGA | Diff | MP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City |
3.00 | 1.50 | 1.5 | 3584 | 10752 |
| 2 | Brighton |
2.60 | 1.20 | 1.4 | 8960 | 16128 |
| 3 | Aston Villa |
2.33 | 2.33 | 0 | 5376 | 7168 |
| 4 | Manchester United |
2.00 | 2.17 | -0.17 | 10752 | 10752 |
| 5 | Liverpool |
2.00 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 5376 | 16128 |
| 6 | Everton |
1.80 | 1.00 | 0.8 | 8960 | 19712 |
| 7 | Bournemouth |
1.67 | 0.67 | 1 | 5376 | 10752 |
| 8 | Tottenham |
1.67 | 1.67 | 0 | 5376 | 5376 |
| 9 | Chelsea |
1.67 | 2.00 | -0.33 | 5376 | 5376 |
| 10 | Sunderland |
1.67 | 1.67 | 0 | 5376 | 10752 |
| 11 | Leeds |
1.50 | 0.50 | 1 | 7168 | 14336 |
| 12 | Coventry |
1.50 | 3.00 | -1.5 | 7168 | 5376 |
| 13 | Newcastle |
1.17 | 1.83 | -0.66 | 10752 | 12544 |
| 14 | Arsenal |
1.00 | 1.00 | 0 | 7168 | 16128 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace |
1.00 | 1.50 | -0.5 | 7168 | 7168 |
| 16 | Ipswich |
1.00 | 2.67 | -1.67 | 5376 | 0 |
| 17 | Hull City |
1.00 | 1.50 | -0.5 | 7168 | 3584 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest |
1.00 | 3.00 | -2 | 1792 | 0 |
| 19 | Fulham |
0.67 | 1.00 | -0.33 | 5376 | 3584 |
| 20 | Brentford |
0.67 | 1.33 | -0.66 | 5376 | 3584 |
La Liga — Full Table Rates
| # | Team | xG | xGA | Diff | MP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona |
3.60 | 1.00 | 2.6 | 11240 | 33720 |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
3.00 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 8992 | 20232 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid |
2.50 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 8992 | 20232 |
| 4 | Villarreal |
2.00 | 1.00 | 1 | 6744 | 13488 |
| 5 | Levante |
1.80 | 2.20 | -0.4 | 11240 | 11240 |
| 6 | Racing Santander |
1.75 | 1.50 | 0.25 | 8992 | 20232 |
| 7 | Real Betis |
1.67 | 0.67 | 1 | 6744 | 15736 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad |
1.57 | 1.86 | -0.29 | 15736 | 29224 |
| 9 | Athletic Club |
1.40 | 1.00 | 0.4 | 11240 | 15736 |
| 10 | Sevilla |
1.40 | 1.20 | 0.2 | 11240 | 17984 |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna |
1.29 | 1.14 | 0.15 | 15736 | 20232 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano |
1.20 | 1.80 | -0.6 | 11240 | 11240 |
| 13 | Elche |
1.20 | 2.20 | -1 | 11240 | 2248 |
| 14 | Valencia |
1.00 | 2.75 | -1.75 | 8992 | 6744 |
| 15 | Osasuna |
1.00 | 1.43 | -0.43 | 15736 | 22480 |
| 16 | Getafe |
0.88 | 1.38 | -0.5 | 17984 | 20232 |
| 17 | Malaga |
0.50 | 2.00 | -1.5 | 8992 | 2248 |
| 18 | Espanyol |
0.50 | 1.00 | -0.5 | 4496 | 2248 |
| 19 | Celta Vigo |
0.43 | 0.86 | -0.43 | 15736 | 11240 |
| 20 | Alaves |
0.25 | 0.75 | -0.5 | 8992 | 4496 |
Serie A — Full Table Rates
| # | Team | xG | xGA | Diff | MP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frosinone |
2.67 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 13044 | 28262 |
| 2 | Lazio |
2.50 | 1.00 | 1.5 | 13044 | 34784 |
| 3 | AC Milan |
2.50 | 0.50 | 2 | 4348 | 13044 |
| 4 | AS Roma |
2.50 | 0.50 | 2 | 8696 | 21740 |
| 5 | Inter |
2.50 | 1.00 | 1.5 | 8696 | 26088 |
| 6 | Sassuolo |
2.25 | 3.50 | -1.25 | 8696 | 8696 |
| 7 | Juventus |
2.00 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 6522 | 8696 |
| 8 | Fiorentina |
2.00 | 1.75 | 0.25 | 8696 | 10870 |
| 9 | Monza |
1.60 | 1.60 | 0 | 10870 | 8696 |
| 10 | Atalanta |
1.50 | 1.67 | -0.17 | 13044 | 21740 |
| 11 | Parma |
1.40 | 1.40 | 0 | 10870 | 15218 |
| 12 | Torino |
1.14 | 1.43 | -0.29 | 15218 | 17392 |
| 13 | Como |
1.14 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 15218 | 28262 |
| 14 | Lecce |
1.13 | 2.25 | -1.12 | 17392 | 15218 |
| 15 | Napoli |
1.00 | 1.00 | 0 | 8696 | 10870 |
| 16 | Udinese |
1.00 | 2.50 | -1.5 | 13044 | 0 |
| 17 | Bologna |
1.00 | 1.20 | -0.2 | 10870 | 10870 |
| 18 | Venezia |
1.00 | 1.80 | -0.8 | 10870 | 6522 |
| 19 | Cagliari |
0.86 | 1.57 | -0.71 | 15218 | 19566 |
| 20 | Genoa |
0.75 | 1.25 | -0.5 | 8696 | 6522 |
Bundesliga — Full Table Rates
| # | Team | xG | xGA | Diff | MP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
3.33 | 1.67 | 1.66 | 4644 | 9288 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig |
3.33 | 1.33 | 2 | 4644 | 9288 |
| 3 | FC Augsburg |
2.75 | 2.25 | 0.5 | 6192 | 9288 |
| 4 | SC Freiburg |
2.67 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 4644 | 10836 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 |
2.50 | 1.50 | 1 | 3096 | 6192 |
| 6 | Bayern München |
2.00 | 1.00 | 1 | 3096 | 9288 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen |
2.00 | 3.00 | -1 | 3096 | 4644 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund |
2.00 | 1.00 | 1 | 1548 | 4644 |
| 9 | Bayer Leverkusen |
2.00 | 0.50 | 1.5 | 3096 | 9288 |
| 10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1.67 | 3.00 | -1.33 | 4644 | 0 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1.67 | 2.67 | -1 | 4644 | 3096 |
| 12 | 1899 Hoffenheim |
1.50 | 2.00 | -0.5 | 3096 | 4644 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV |
1.25 | 3.00 | -1.75 | 6192 | 9288 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln |
1.25 | 1.50 | -0.25 | 6192 | 6192 |
| 15 | SV Elversberg |
0.67 | 1.33 | -0.66 | 4644 | 1548 |
| 16 | Union Berlin |
0.50 | 1.50 | -1 | 3096 | 1548 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 |
0.33 | 1.67 | -1.34 | 4644 | 1548 |
Ligue 1 — Full Table Rates
| # | Team | xG | xGA | Diff | MP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg |
3.25 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 6788 | 10182 |
| 2 | Paris FC |
3.00 | 0.00 | 3 | 1697 | 5091 |
| 3 | Rennes |
2.00 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 5091 | 10182 |
| 4 | Paris Saint Germain |
1.67 | 0.33 | 1.34 | 5091 | 15273 |
| 5 | Le Mans |
1.67 | 2.00 | -0.33 | 5091 | 3394 |
| 6 | Nice |
1.50 | 1.25 | 0.25 | 6788 | 15273 |
| 7 | Toulouse |
1.50 | 1.00 | 0.5 | 3394 | 5091 |
| 8 | Auxerre |
1.50 | 3.00 | -1.5 | 3394 | 5091 |
| 9 | Lens |
1.50 | 2.00 | -0.5 | 3394 | 1697 |
| 10 | Lille |
1.40 | 0.80 | 0.6 | 8485 | 16970 |
| 11 | Monaco |
1.33 | 0.67 | 0.66 | 5091 | 8485 |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 |
1.25 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 6788 | 10182 |
| 13 | Marseille |
1.00 | 1.67 | -0.67 | 5091 | 5091 |
| 14 | Lorient |
1.00 | 1.00 | 0 | 3394 | 5091 |
| 15 | Estac Troyes |
1.00 | 4.00 | -3 | 3394 | 0 |
| 16 | Angers |
0.50 | 2.00 | -1.5 | 3394 | 0 |
| 17 | Lyon |
0.00 | 2.00 | -2 | 3394 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre |
0.00 | 2.00 | -2 | 1697 | 0 |
About xG Statistics
Expected Goals (xG) Statistics — How to Read the Data
Expected Goals (xG) quantifies chance quality. Until shot-level xG is stored in our feed, team tables use goals-for and goals-against per game as a transparent proxy for attack and defence strength. Fixture tips split model average goals by attack comparison.
FootyBlazer ranks Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1 teams by these rates, then shows match-level projections for today's card.
Responsible Use of xG Statistics
xG is a probabilistic tool, not a certainty engine. All tips are for users aged 18+. Visit BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133.